Understanding Pattern-Based Value in CS2
In the world of CS2 skins, not all items with the same name are created equal. Certain skins feature pattern variations that can dramatically impact their value—sometimes multiplying the base price by 10x or more. This comprehensive guide will help you identify these valuable pattern-based skins and understand their worth in today's market.
While float values (the condition rating) affect all skins, patterns are special variations that only impact specific skin collections. Knowing which patterns are valuable can help you spot incredible deals or avoid overpaying for ordinary variants.
Case Hardened Blue Gems
The most famous pattern-based skins are the Case Hardened "Blue Gems." These rare variations of the Case Hardened finish feature extensive blue coloration instead of the typical gold/purple mixture.
AK-47 Case Hardened with the coveted "Pattern 661" Blue Gem
AK-47 Case Hardened
The most valuable Case Hardened patterns are found on the AK-47. Pattern indexes 661, 955, and 387 are considered "Tier 1" blue gems, with #661 being the most valuable. These can sell for 50-100 times the market price of a regular Case Hardened AK.
Key value factors:
- Top Surface Blue: The amount of blue visible on the top of the weapon (what you see while playing)
- Magazine Blue: Blue on the magazine adds value but less than top surface
- Clean Blue: Solid blue without purple/gold interruptions commands higher prices
Karambit Case Hardened
For Karambit knives, the #387 pattern (known as the "Blue Gem") is highly sought after. A Factory New version is extremely rare and can fetch prices over $100,000. Pattern #601 (known as "Oceano") is another legendary pattern.
Value depends on:
- Playside Blue: The percentage of blue on the visible side while playing
- Blue Tip: A blue blade tip is particularly desirable
- Clean Edge: A clean blue edge without interruptions commands premium prices
Pattern Inspection Tip
Always inspect Case Hardened items in-game or on trusted marketplaces. Screenshots can be manipulated to enhance blue coloration, and lighting conditions can dramatically affect appearance.
Fade Patterns
Fade skins feature a gradient of colors, and their value varies based on the "fade percentage" and color distribution.
Butterfly Knife Fade
The most valuable Butterfly Fade patterns are "Full Fade" (100%) and "90/10 Fade." The key indicator is the amount of purple extending onto the blade and the richness of the colors.
Butterfly Knife with 100% Full Fade pattern
Glock-18 Fade
For the Glock Fade, the most valuable pattern has maximum purple at the front of the gun with vivid color transitions. Factory New Full Fades can sell for significantly more than minimal fades.
Crimson Web Patterns
Crimson Web skins feature a red base with a web pattern overlay. Their value increases based on the number, size, and positioning of web formations.
M9 Bayonet Crimson Web
The most valuable M9 Crimson Web patterns feature large centered webs on the playside. A Factory New M9 with 3 large webs can sell for 2-3 times the price of a webless variant.
Specialist Gloves Crimson Kimono
These gloves vary in how much red appears on each hand. "Max Red" patterns with symmetrical red coverage on both hands can sell for up to double the price of poorly patterned variants.
Doppler Phases and Special Patterns
Doppler knives come in different phases (Phase 1-4) and special variants that significantly affect value.
Karambit Doppler Sapphire - one of the most valuable knife variants
Special Doppler Patterns
- Ruby: Solid red pattern, typically 3-4x the price of regular phases
- Sapphire: Solid blue pattern, usually the most expensive Doppler variant
- Black Pearl: Rare dark pattern with subtle color shifts, highly collectible
- Emerald: Solid green pattern, exclusive to certain knife types and extremely valuable
Doppler Phases
Among regular phases, Phase 2 (with maximum pink) is typically the most valuable, followed by Phase 4 (maximum blue). Phases 1 and 3 are generally less desirable and command lower prices.
Marble Fade Patterns
Marble Fade skins feature red, yellow, and blue sections. Certain patterns have special names and values.
Karambit Marble Fade
The "Fire and Ice" pattern features only red and blue colors without yellow. These are categorized in 10 tiers, with 1st max being the most valuable. A true 1st max Fire and Ice can sell for 2-3x the price of a regular Marble Fade.
Bayonet Marble Fade
The "Fire and Ice" pattern is also valuable on Bayonets, with similar tier classifications based on the amount of yellow visible (less is better).
Gamma Doppler Emerald
The Gamma Doppler Emerald is one of the rarest and most expensive patterns in CS2. These knives have a brilliant green appearance and can sell for 3-5x the price of regular Gamma Doppler phases.
Tools for Pattern Identification
Several resources can help you identify valuable patterns:
- Pattern Databases: Websites like CS.MONEY and BUFF.163 allow searching by pattern index
- Community Guides: Sites like CSGOFloat provide pattern guides with visual examples
- Discord Communities: Join trading servers where experts can help with pattern checking
Trading Tip
Always get a "price check" from knowledgeable traders before buying or selling pattern-based skins. Many sellers are unaware of the true value of special patterns, creating opportunities for savvy traders.
Conclusion
Understanding rare patterns is one of the most advanced aspects of CS2 skin trading. The knowledge in this guide can help you identify valuable items that others might overlook, potentially leading to significant profits.
Remember that pattern valuation is subjective and can change over time as collector preferences evolve. Always research current market conditions before making significant investments in pattern-based skins.
